Rufin Indiya na shirin yin rauni a cikin watanni masu zuwa: zaben Reuters

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Ana ganin bayanin kuɗin Indiya Rupee a wannan hoton hoton Yuni 1, 2017

Rupe na Indiya, daya daga cikin mafi munin kudaden Asiya a bara, zai kara faduwa a cikin watanni masu zuwa kuma ana sa ran zai koma kasuwanci a inda yake a cikin watanni 12, a cewar wani kuri'ar jin ra'ayin Reuters na FX.

 Bayan faɗuwar sama da kashi 10% a 2022 Rupe ta yi ciniki tsakanin 80.88-82.95 kowace dala a wannan shekara kuma ta haura 82.10 a ranar Talata. An sa ran zai kasance a cikin wannan kewayon sama da hasashen hasashen.

Hasashen matsakaici daga masu amsawa 40 zuwa 31 ga Maris-Afrilu sakamakon kuri'ar Reuters ya nuna cinikin rupee a 82.40/dala a karshen wata da 82.55/dala a karshen watan Yuni.  An yi hasashen zai yi nisa zuwa 81.50/dala cikin watanni 12.

Koyaya, kashi biyar na masu amsa sun yi hasashen kuɗin zai canza hannu a 82.90/dala ko kuma mai rauni a farkon wata mai zuwa.

 Yawancin masu amsa zaɓen da suka amsa ƙarin tambaya, 13 cikin 16, sun ce haɗarin da ke tattare da hasashen nasu ya karkata ga Rupee ya yi rauni a cikin wata mai zuwa.

Alamar da asusun ajiyar Tarayyar Amurka ya yi ya kusa kawo karshen wani tashin hankali na tarihi ya ba da sassauci ga yawancin kudaden a watan da ya gabata, tare da rubi ya karu da kashi 0.6%.  Amma kuri'ar jin ra'ayin jama'a na sa ran za a sake fuskantar matsin lamba.

 Sakshi Gupta, babban masanin tattalin arziki na Indiya a bankin HDFC ya ce "Fed na iya sake haɓaka rates a cikin Mayu, wanda ke kiyaye dala...

 Yayin da Bankin Reserve na Indiya (RBI) ya haɓaka adadin kuɗin da ya yi ƙasa da na Fed yayin wannan zagaye, kuma yana da ƙarancin ikon rage farashin lamuni a lokacin hasashen, in ji Gupta.

 "Don haka bambance-bambancen amfanin gona da halayyar neman albarkacin baki na iya jawo wasu kwararar ruwa zuwa Indiya," in ji ta, yayin da take magana daga baya a lokacin hasashen.

 Rupe mai juzu'i, wanda ya ragu a cikin shekaru 9 cikin shekaru 10 da suka gabata, ya sami ƙarancin tarihin 83.26 a watan Oktoban da ya gabata, wanda ya tilastawa RBI shiga tsakani.

Duk da kona biliyoyin daloli na asusun ajiyar waje a bara don yaki da karfin dala, a kan dala biliyan 578.78 RBI tana da isasshen wutar lantarki don ci gaba da ayyukanta don hana tashin hankali.

 Wannan shi ne wani dalili kuma da alama kudin zai manne akan jeri.

 Lin Li, shugaban binciken kasuwannin duniya a Asiya a MUFG ya ce "Mabudin direban kudin Indiya zai ci gaba da kasancewa dabarun sa baki na RBI na FX."  "A ganinmu, RBI da alama ba ta son ƙarancin FX mai yawa, musamman ma idan ana tafiyar da shi ta hanyar tafiyar da fayil (a cikin bangarorin biyu)."